Monday, October 1, 2007

The Bigger Picture: Looking Beyond Dangers Suggested in the Media

Discussion of international politics has become all but impossible without the mention of weapons of mass destruction. Whether it is headline news or political rhetoric, the term WMD has become a familiar word and is common in world news media. Although most understand the meaning behind the term, it is surprisingly rare to hear news on certain aspects of weapons of mass destruction. Nuclear proliferation issues throughout the world are discussed in the media almost every day, amplified by the current controversies over Iran and North Korea, but what of the other categories of WMDs, such as chemical weapons? A prudent observer of international politics or security must ask why greater attention is not being given to chemical weapons. Is proliferation of chemical weapons less of a threat than nuclear weapons?

This year marks the 10th anniversary of the Chemical Weapons Convention (the cousin to the NPT) which was created to aid in the universal elimination of chemical weapons. “The 6 States Parties which have declared chemical weapons must destroy over 8,670,000 items, including munitions and containers —containing in total, over 71,000 metric tonnes of extremely toxic chemical agents.” The time table set for the complete destruction of these stockpiles has come and gone and the CWC has extended the end date to 2012 because of difficulties encountered. To date the CWC reports that only 30% of these chemicals have been destroyed. To put the danger of chemical weapons into perspective, it must be realized that the majority of the chemicals stockpiled are nerve agents such as VX and Sarin, a large portion of which are stored in small munitions (as seen in the image to the left).

The scope of this threat can only be realized by understanding the ease with which one or more of these weapons could be acquired and smuggled throughout the world. Chemical weapons sealed in an appropriate container are relatively inconspicuous, unlike nuclear weapons which are detectable because of the radiation emitted and biological weapons which are highly dangerous and unstable to transport. Substances such as VX and Sarin may be placed in small containers or munitions and present fewer difficulties in their transportation and almost no complexities with regards to detonation.

These weapons are small, highly mobile, and extremely lethal. Although there has been progress towards the destruction of the declared chemical stockpiles of six of the CWC member states, there remains a need for great haste and additional caution regarding these weapons.
Chemical weapons remain a highly dangerous and an abundant threat to the world. For example, Russia (a member of the CWC which has declared its stockpile) possessed approximately 40,000 metric tons of chemical agents. Although the United States and other nations are aiding Russia in the construction of multiple facilities for the ultimate destruction of these weapons, it is unlikely that Russia will meet the 2012 deadline. The danger behind this is that Russian chemical weapons are stored above ground in structures that are not armored and which employ almost no means of adequate security. As seen in image to the right, these storage facilities are sheet metal buildings secured with bars and padlocks and very few guards.

The dismal conditions of Russian storage sites are unfortunately not an exception to the rule. There are numerous states which store chemical weapons in a similar fashion to Russia, such as Albania; one of its current storage facilities can be seen in the image to the right. Because there are numerous states which produced or possess chemical weapons, a majority of these being undeclared, the issue of cataloging and securing chemical weapons from terrorists or rogue states is an even greater task than that of nuclear materials and weapons. Unlike biological weapons which have a short shelf life, or nuclear weapons that require considerable maintenance, chemical weapons require only the creation process. Once created chemical agents have proven that they can remain lethal for generations.

The danger lies in the lack of public awareness. Everyone has seen videos of atomic bombs being detonated, demonstrating their awesome destructive power, which truly is a terrifying sight. However, very few have been witness to the incredible power of modern chemical weapons. In the case of VX, a dose of 30 micrograms is lethal to a human. This means that 100grams of VX has the ability to kill over 3,000,000 people. To put this into perspective, 100grams is the weight of my cell phone.

It is absolutely necessary for the world to understand the danger chemical weapons pose to humanity and be aware that these weapons are a current threat on a scale similar to nuclear weapons, both in terms of proliferation and quantity. This brief overview should serve to inform governments, individuals, and the media that a discussion of the dangers regarding WMDs must not be limited to nuclear weapons, but must include all categories of WMDs, especially the grave threat of chemical weapons.

1 comment:

AAD said...

Sterling, your topic is not only timley, but crucially important to address. As a fellow international relations student I am well versed on the dangers that both chemical and nuclear weapons pose for our system's future. The general public, as you state, however is not. This, I believe (as do you according to your post) could prove to be disasterous. Awareness is an essential. With that said, I tried to read your post through the eyes of one of such people- someone who is not an IR student, but rather just a member of the general public. Though I found that you did an excellent job portraying the dangers of the public's general apathy,I have to disagree with you on one point. Though the public is well versed on images of mushroom clouds, Dr. Strangelove and the destructive nature of atomic weapons, I think their concern is rather superficial. When I began studying nuclear proliferation and the potential ease of bringing a nuclear weapon into the US, I was unable to sleep for nights. Most Americans, it seems are more conerned with the outcome of American Idol. As such, while the American public is more aware of nuclear weaponry, I do not nesecarily believe it is a true concern of thiers. Moreover, perhaps you should have gone into some detail about exactly what VX and Serin gas are. Additionally,you argue that it is difficult to hide a nuclear weapon because it emitts radiation. Actually, I have read that a small layer of lead can conceal such a weapon. Your graphics are excellent, however I would reccomend you increase their size slightly, to make more of an impact on the reader. Especially, due to the shocking nature of the subject. Ultimatley, your article was extremely effective as it left me pondering the questions you proposed: What of chemical weapons? Why are they not used as frequently. In fact, I raised a question of my own: knowing the great lengths that Terrorists have gone through to obtain nuclear weapons, why then, if they are so difficult to obtain would they not employ chemical weapons (which you have proven have just as deadly a death toll)?

 
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